Climate economics · Circular economy · Data & AI
Prescient helps companies and public institutions make decarbonisation and circular business models add up. We combine economic analysis with AI, data and technology, so decisions cut impact and hold up in the boardroom and in the budget.
What we do
Most sustainability advice stops at the target. We start where the money is: cost, return, risk and timing.
01 · Climate economics
02 · Circular economy
03 · Data & AI
The next decoupling
Since 2000 the Danish economy has grown 38%. CO₂ has fallen by almost half on Danish territory, and by more than a quarter when emissions in imported goods are counted. Material use is 5% higher than in 2000. Circular business models are how that changes.
Denmark is not alone. The IPCC finds at least 18 countries that have cut emissions for more than ten years in a row. Materials are a different story: global material use has more than tripled since 1970, and extracting and processing resources causes more than half of the world’s greenhouse gas emissions (UNEP International Resource Panel, 2024).
| Year | Economy (GDP) | Material use | CO₂ incl. imports | CO₂ on Danish territory |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| 2001 | 101 | 98 | 99 | 103 |
| 2002 | 101 | 94 | 99 | 102 |
| 2003 | 102 | 97 | 100 | 112 |
| 2004 | 105 | 102 | 100 | 102 |
| 2005 | 107 | 110 | 99 | 95 |
| 2006 | 111 | 117 | 109 | 110 |
| 2007 | 112 | 114 | 105 | 101 |
| 2008 | 112 | 109 | 103 | 94 |
| 2009 | 106 | 92 | 97 | 90 |
| 2010 | 108 | 86 | 98 | 91 |
| 2011 | 109 | 96 | 95 | 82 |
| 2012 | 109 | 96 | 86 | 73 |
| 2013 | 111 | 91 | 83 | 77 |
| 2014 | 112 | 91 | 81 | 69 |
| 2015 | 115 | 95 | 78 | 65 |
| 2016 | 118 | 100 | 81 | 68 |
| 2017 | 122 | 102 | 81 | 64 |
| 2018 | 124 | 103 | 84 | 64 |
| 2019 | 126 | 103 | 78 | 57 |
| 2020 | 124 | 102 | 71 | 52 |
| 2021 | 132 | 106 | 79 | 54 |
| 2022 | 133 | 109 | 77 | 54 |
| 2023 | 133 | 95 | 73 | 53 |
| 2024 | 138 | 105 | – | 52 |
Start with your question
Most engagements start with one of these questions. Each points to the first, fixed-scope step that answers it.
Resilience and risk
I’m worried about the resilience of my supply chain. What do I do?
Start with: Circular opportunity scan →Material, energy and waste costs keep rising. Where can we save?
Start with: Circular opportunity scan →New rules on packaging, products and reporting. What will they cost us, and can we turn them into an advantage?
Start with: Transition scan →Growth
Am I missing out on growth and cost savings by not using data, technology and AI to operate more sustainably?
Start with: Data & AI audit →Can we earn money on our products’ second life through resale, repair, rental or product as a service?
Start with: Circular opportunity scan →Customers and tenders ask for lower-footprint products and the data to prove it. How do we win?
Start with: Transition scan →Targets and governance
We have a climate target but no plan that adds up. What does it cost, and where do we start?
Start with: Transition scan →Our board wants to know whether our sustainability and AI investments pay off.
Start with: Board briefing →We have run pilots, but nothing scales.
Start with: Data & AI audit →How we start
Every engagement moves in small steps. Each ends with a gate, and nothing moves on without a strong business case and a way to measure the outcome. You can stop after any step and keep what you have paid for.
Free · 60 minutes
We agree the business question, what data exists and whether we are the right fit. You get a one-page note.
GateA clear question with an owner on your side.
Fixed scope and price · 2–4 weeks
A fact base, the value at stake and three options, with the baseline and data gaps stated.
GateThe value at stake is quantified against a stated baseline.
1 day · optional board briefing
Management chooses one to three priorities, each with an owner, KPIs for money and impact, and stop criteria.
GateA named sponsor, agreed KPIs and stop criteria for every priority.
4–6 weeks
A business case in your board’s format: investment, payback, risks, funding, partners and regulatory fit, plus the measurement plan.
GateThe business case is approved, and the baseline and measurement plan are in place.
8–12 weeks
One priority built and tested against success criteria fixed before it starts. We bring in specialist partners where they add value.
GateMeasured results meet the success criteria agreed up front.
Quarterly
Roll-out with results tracked against the business case: DKK saved and earned, tonnes of CO₂e and materials.
GateEach quarter: scale, adjust or stop, based on the numbers.
Team
Each engagement is led by the founder. Associated project experts join when a project needs their discipline.
Founder & Partner
Associated project expert
Associated project expert
Associated project expert
Clients
Listed companies, public institutions and investors across pharma, shipping, manufacturing, finance and retail.
“Kristoffer was very generous in sharing his knowledge and experience. He was very attentive, pragmatic in his approach and trustworthy. Audits can be quite tiresome, but it was a pleasure to work with Kristoffer throughout the process.”
HeleneCSO, AP Møller Maersk“Kristoffer provided invaluable insights that helped us identify external sustainable innovators and define alignment with our business model and innovation. The expertise is unmatched.”
EllenSystem Engineering Manager, Leading global pharma company“The advice was a game-changer for us. Their data-driven solutions and strategic guidance have propelled our sustainability initiatives forward and resulted in a new integrated commercial approach.”
FredrikaCFO, Global MedTech producer“Prescient’s comprehensive approach to sustainability and climate change management has helped set us apart in our industry. The commitment to excellence is evident in every interaction.”
RikkeCSO, Nordic beauty and health retailerContact
Tell us what you are trying to decide. We reply within two working days.